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Seasonal precipitation interpolation at the Valencia region with multivariate methods using geographic and topographic information

机译:瓦伦西亚地区季节性降水插值法,使用地理和地形信息进行多元分析

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摘要

The spatial pattern of precipitation is a complex variable that strongly depends on other geographic and topographic factors. As precipitation is usually known only at certain locations, interpolation procedures are needed in order to predict this variable in other regions. The use of multivariate interpolation methods is usually preferred, as secondary variables generally derived using GIS tools correlated with precipitation can be included. In this paper, a comparative study on different univariate and multivariate interpolation methodologies is presented. Our study area is centred in the region of Valencia, located to the eastern Spanish Mediterranean coast. The followed methodology can be divided in three steps. First, secondary variables having significant correlations with the precipitation were derived, where the hillsides were used as influence areas of certain variables. Secondly, precipitation was interpolated with different methodologies. Finally, the derived models were compared in terms of predicted errors. Models were achieved for seasonal scales, considering a total of 179 raingauges; data of another 45 raingauges were also used to predict errors. Results prove that there is no ideal method for all the cases but it will depend on one hand, on the number of geographical factors that influence the rainfall and, on the other hand, on the major or minor spatial correlation within the rainfall.
机译:降水的空间格局是一个复杂的变量,在很大程度上取决于其他地理和地形因素。由于通常仅在某些位置才知道降水,因此需要插值程序才能在其他地区预测该变量。通常首选使用多元插值方法,因为通常可以使用与降水相关的GIS工具得出的次级变量可以包括在内。本文对不同的单变量和多元插值方法进行了比较研究。我们的研究区域以西班牙东部地中海沿岸的巴伦西亚地区为中心。遵循的方法可以分为三个步骤。首先,推导了与降水具有显着相关性的次级变量,其中山坡被用作某些变量的影响区域。其次,用不同的方法对降水进行插值。最后,根据预测的误差对导出的模型进行比较。考虑了总共179个雨量计,得出了针对季节性尺度的模型;另外45个雨量计的数据也用于预测误差。结果证明,在所有情况下都没有理想的方法,但它一方面取决于影响降雨的地理因素的数量,另一方面取决于降雨范围内主要或次要的空间相关性。

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